Current price is $87, thinking of buying when it hits $82?
If I were you, I would just think long term. If you are convinced that Avalanche will sooner or later replace Ethereum, which is the stated goal, and it is assumed that Avalanche will then at least reach the market cap of Ethereum today, then the price still has to increase fifteenfold, so the fair AVAX price would be $1100-1300. As I said, only under the assumption that Avalanche is really better than Ether.
I do not think any blockchain could replace ethereum so soon. No one knows what will happen in long term but I am more bullish in eth than avax. There are other blockchains Solana, Cardano, Polygon, Decentraland, and Helium which have been done better than avax in 2021. Do not look at the price because it doesn't reflect the project's future potential.