If refers to the OP means, ADA won't do 10x if bitcoin marketcap or whole crypto market marketcap is not impoved at least double the current numbers.
Because if the marketcap of ADA multiply by 10 it will surpass ETH marketcap which is hard to happen right now.
And i'm agree with the rest you mentioned but not sure will going that high since XRP is a centralized based coin
ADA will definitely not do 10x, that is just way too much. I believe that there is a good chance it could do 2x, or even 3x if the market is right, but that is about it. People should stop trying to make wealth out of crypto over night. I know there are some people who got into things like shiba or doge and made a ton of money in 2021, and there have been some altcoins that did a lot of profit for many people. Just because it happened to some people doesn't mean that it has to happen to you.
On top of that, the ones that went high like that were not coins that were around top 10 ranks, most of the top 10 ranks did not do 10x inside one year, they did went x10+ in 2+ years period but not in a year. So, I believe that the best we can hope for ADA is x3 and that's it, nothing more. I do not know which coins will make 10x but they are not around top 10 rankings.