Let's stick with your current prediction.. who gives any shits about your past.

Right now, you are saying that there are high odds that the BTC price needs to meet the 200 Week moving average before it will be able to move up, and you are saying that such meeting of spot price and the 200-week moving average may well take a few months to play out.   So you are largely saying that we have good odds of reaching $24k within 3-6 months. How confident are you?  Are you confident enough to place a bet?  Does not have to be for a large amount and we can get some mutually agreeable member to escrow it... we just have to figure out the terms.. maybe the parameters?  Maybe you would say $24k before $46k?  or something like that?  Of course, we could pick different price points and timelines that might help to align with confidence levels.  You talk like you have a lot of confidence in 24K.. something like quite a bit more than 80%?   Am I reading you wrong?  Are you not that confident? 

By the way, many guys run away like scared little rabbits when they actually have to back up their outrageous claims with any kind of bet that would attempt to capture their outrageous claims within the terms of a bet (and for sure it does not even have to be large amounts.. (10k to 500k satoshis could sufficiently be in the ballpark of establishing bet terms).. You have already run away or avoided or ignored bet terms at least once, so I doubt that you are even close to actually wanting to back up your claims with some kind of skin in the game and you are likely going to walk back your supposed level of confidence... while you are supposedly learning and pumping out various kinds of pie in the sky theoretical bullshit for quite a few months.. while you are supposedly "learning."