We can just compare the past in today's situation and make it a basis to what possibly happens in the coming days, weeks, months, or years. The market eventually changes from time to time and that was difficult to predict what gonna happen.

That never works in reality. We have to remember the volatility of the market and no one had ever seen which direction the market goes. I don't weigh that much but you can still make use of it for the analysis however, never expect that it will happen.