Less than 44% odds, perhaps?

or

Less than 50% odds?

or are you thinking some other level of probabilities?

There's quite a bit of time between now and the end of the calendar year... gosh 11 months, no?

But I see that so many people seem to be caught up in some kind of mental framework that if the actual high does not happen within the four year fractal.. as scheduled by the pundits, therefore, the odds for the high happening after that same framework has diminished greatly..... or were the odds always not much more than 50/50 anyhow?

Sure, I know that when we had momentum and when we were going from $10k to $64,895.. especially the first time (referring to September 2020 to April 2020), then there were a lot of folks who were asserting that $100k was inevitable in its impending status.. .but a couple of 50% plus corrections along the way has dampened confidences, no?    I know that you are not faking it.. but personally I cannot see how the odds have changed very much between early 2021 late 2021 and now, and it is almost as if the two 50% corrections should have made the ability to go up to get stronger, no  Buy support has been able to catch up to the actual large UPpity moves in BTC price that we have already seen, no?