Re: Win free Bitcoins every hour!

Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?

Quote from: FanEagle on March 26, 2014, 04:10:18 PM

I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.

I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):

https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000

P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.

63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000

If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability

***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC   7748
7-0.20269780 BTC   1059
8-0.20220446 BTC   1182
9-0.19664634 BTC   575

***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?

***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059

The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000

Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000