2) Different companys for example Bitmain invent always new ASIC Miner which will make more hashrate with lower energy consumption
That's wrong with your whole scenario.
There is a limit on the efficiency of those machines, just like with every other chip we have right now, it can't go and double efficiency every year, pretty soon it won't be happening even every 4 years, the S7 was using 28nm chips, the S19 7nm, there is a limit to how much you can get out of it.
Moore's law is dead and buried and has already been exorcised after turning in a ghost.
If the energy consumtion keeps constant, the network safety will be lower with every "new Antminer" (see 2)
4) Bitcoin energy consumtion has rised approximatly from 15 Twh 7/2017 to 200 Twh 1/2022 which is factor 13 dependig on
Dependig on 4 the Bitcoin energy consumtion would be 600 Twh in 2027, 3600 Twh in 2032 and 21600 Twh in 2037
The energy consumption has grown because the reward has grown, miners shave more money as income they can afford to spend more as the cost to get a larger share of that. If the price will stay the same for a year, once the new gear that was ordered is finally delivered and the revenue per TH goes down the drain you will see no spike in consumption.
If the profitability of mining is in a lower one-digit number there will also be no more gear sales as the difference in efficiency will not be able to make the difference from the cost of a new gear ordered, thus lowering both the demand and incentive to develop new miners.
Revenue per TH/s is around 16 cents right now, just like 3 years ago when Bitmain was launching the S17, but the S17 was 2200$ with 56TH, the S19 is 10k for 104TH. Exponential growth can't happen!