⭐ Merited by xandry (4)
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is putting out daily battle updates. Apparently Russia has been bringing in a lot of tanks, and ISW predicts that they will do a major, much more destructive attack on Kyiv tomorrow.
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Crimea axis: Russian forces continued limited advances on two axes out of Crimea—north toward Zaprozhia and west toward Mykolayiv, reaching the outskirts of Mykolayiv on February 28. Russia may struggle to fully supply both axes of advance and may be forced to choose which advance to prioritize.
I am nearby ... and I can say with confidence that Nikolaev is very well fortified, besides, it is a Ukrainian harbor that has a lot of drawbridges, the Russian military yesterday tried to land troops on the other side of the river, but the city's mobile groups successfully fought back. In addition, today's negotiations are only a preparation for the second round of negotiations and Moscow will do everything to be in a winning position, so I expect that in the next 24 hours Kiev and Mariupol will get the most. Although everything can turn out quite differently ... since there is also a Nuclear Power Plant in Zaporozhye, (control over Nikolaev and Zaporozhye will deprive Ukraine of 50% of energy).
At the moment, the situation is quite complicated, especially considering the fact that there is an active nuclear power plant very close by, which is probably why the residents of the Nikolaev region are no less alarmed than the residents of Kyiv or Mariupol, (dry law, and a 12-hour curfew).
