There are ceasefire talks going on. It's still possible that some kind of diplomatic solution can be found, maybe Ukraine will declare neutrality and then Russia will leave. Who knows. But I think there are far more possible outcomes than the 3 you have listed. Hopefully, it gets resolved soon and via a diplomatic solution. I don't like any poor people dying for their masters, Ukraine or Russia.
Speaking of which: Somac, I owe you fifty bucks.
Reason: Last week when word came out that some dumbass Chechen "General" was going around offering $1000 bounties on Ukrainians killed to his men. I thought that was interesting and offered a $50 bounty for his ass, since that's all he was worth.
Apparently someone took him out. So I'm on the hook for somebody in the Ukraine to get $50. Might as well be you. :-)
So... Dinner when this is all over? Or what's your bitcoin address?
C