I'd say so-so. It all depends in the end on how big is the community, and how well-planned, executed is the roadmap. Are the goals achievable or are they just a bunch of hype bs? How invested is the team actually? Is the idea overall original or just a mere copycat of another more successful project? Lots of If's and whats.

If it was easy to decide, we'd all be billionaires and money wouldn't have a meaning