Quote from: BrightAnarchist on March 30, 2014, 04:58:46 PM

Quote from: Tzupy on March 30, 2014, 04:54:23 PM

'Sentiment incredibly bearish'? Come on... Sentiment is bearish, and this is normal in a bear market.
It's more bearish than I previously thought, so it seems that this bear market is going to resemble more 2011 than 2013.
But my EW count says that the market is still far from the very bottom. If 400$ will break during the next days and
there will be a rebound from that local bottom, only after that will the 'incredibly bearish' sentiment kick in.
Quoting from Wikipedia: Volume picks up, and by the third leg of wave C, almost everyone realizes that a bear market is firmly entrenched.

I agree with this. The error the OP is making is that he's using sentiment in a quantitative manner. However, the market is a fractal. To end a bear market, we need to see sentiment comensurately negative relative to the optimism seen near the highs. If you recall how insane this bubble/mania got, then you'll realize it's going to take one hell of a rout to properly retrace

Sentiment can be scraped from public sites and fashioned into an index which provides useful predictive information. Though in this case I haven't.

Fractals, elliot wave theory, mmm, you both drive a ferrari I suppose