Re: [∞ YH] solo.ckpool.org 2% fee solo mining 265 blocks solved!
~snip~
Imagine you are rolling a dice and the goal is to get the number 6, your hands are slow you can only roll it once every minute, someone else rolls the dice 100 times a minute (they have 100x more chances than you do), but still you can get 6 at the first trial and that person doesn't get any 6 for 6 days straight, but what are odds of that happening!
Imagine you are rolling a dice and the goal is to get the number 6, your hands are slow you can only roll it once every minute, someone else rolls the dice 100 times a minute (they have 100x more chances than you do), but still you can get 6 at the first trial and that person doesn't get any 6 for 6 days straight, but what are odds of that happening!
Slow hand probability of getting a 6 in the first roll: 1/6, or 16.67%
Fast hand probability of not getting a 6 in 6 days: 6 * 24 * 60 = 8640 minutes, 100 rolls a minute means a total of 864,000 rolls of a dice. Probability of not getting a 6 in a single roll is 5/6, so the probability of not getting a 6 in all those rolls is 5/6 * 864,000 = 2.5e-68413. That's a very, very small number, tens of thousands of decimal places. Basically zero.
To have a rough idea of how close to zero that is, here's a graph that shows the probability of not getting a 6 for the first minute only!:
