I think that the Ukrainian military strategically has been mostly intelligent and technically well prepared. When Putin stated over and over that he would not invade Ukraine, they did not prepare for the best case, but for the worst scenario and they were right.
Ukraine has been actively preparing for its attack on the Donbass all winter. There was a lot of talk about the possibility of a Russian invasion, but however, it turned out to be a complete surprise for Ukraine, NATO intelligence simply overslept it. The genius of Putin's strategy lies precisely in the fact that, according to the military canons current as of February 2022, it was technically impossible - too small forces participated in Russian military exercises near the border with Ukraine and NATO intelligence did not take this threat seriously. This gave Russia at the start of the operation the staggering advantage of a surprise strike from which Ukraine still seems to be in shock.
Wasn't the surprise that Russia failed and ended up retreating 5 weeks after the war began? Everyone thought it would be a matter of weeks or even a few days for Kiev to fall, including you:
ВСУ хорошо мотивирована и закалена восьмилетней войной с Донбасом, плюс подготовлена инструкторами НАТО, но без поддержки с воздуха и артиллерии против регулярной армии РФ в прямом противостоянии у ней нет даже теоретических шансов. Поэтому Киев окружили только с трёх сторон, и ждут когда из города по максимуму съебутся мирные жители, чтобы минимизировать потери среди гражданских. Все, кто не сложит оружие, будут уничтожены - и глупо не понимать это.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are well motivated and hardened by the eight-year war with Donbas, plus trained by NATO instructors, but without air support and artillery against the regular army of the Russian Federation in direct confrontation, it has no even theoretical chances. Therefore, Kyiv was surrounded only from three sides, and they are waiting for civilians to get out of the city to the maximum in order to minimize losses among civilians. All who do not lay down their arms will be destroyed - and it is foolish not to understand this.
Do you still think it's naive and foolish to doubt a Russian parade in Kiev on May 9? That's just two weeks away now...
In Kyiv on May 9 2022, a traditional parade will be held in honor of the victory of the USSR over Nazi Germany. It is naive and foolish to doubt it.