I thought I understood your entire post, but I don't know where you got "If this speculation is true, Bitcoin will be allowed to live for another 3 months" from. Why would you say 3 months?
Look at the recent 40 years of history, of our government wants to remove a business, it is done swiftly wtithout struggle. Managers put to prison (e.g. 顾雏军) or in extreme cases killed, company collapse with bad publicity (the state controls a significant portion of media and have loyalty of the rest - Caixin is already one of the most honest among them, hence I trusted their report).
If the government wants to talk to you, then they are demanding for obedience, meaning they think letting you live is acceptable or benificial to them. Henc you will live for another 3 months, just to see if the result pleases them. 3month is the shortest time-frame for our government to make a new decision (remember that when I post last time, 9th Jan, it takes about 3 months for this new decision).
And again, what game are the CEO's playing. I assume they are smart enough to know what you just explained if what you just explained is true. Why aren't they just moving out of the country?
We will wait and see how CEOs act. Moving out of the country has similiar outcome as they shutdown - China out of the game. Google moved to HK and they are still being punished. You don't work on Chinese market without cooperation of Chinese government.
Ok. I understand what you are saying now. But what doesn't make sense to me, is why would the government force them to close bank accounts by April 15th, if they wanted to give them another 3 months to operate before making potential new decisions?
It seems like by setting a date of April 15th, that they putting an end to the exchanges.
Or, are you implying that you don't think closing access to banking accounts will necessarily end the exchanges and there might be work arounds allowed (potentially with a 3 month review)?