The Yamal natural gas contract, signed in September 1996 between the Polish gas company PGNiG and the Russian energy giant Gazprom, expires on December 31th, 2022 and will not be renewed, since gas will be imported from Norway from the 1st of October, becoming more independent of the whims of the Kremlin.
So basically Russia stops deliveries to somebody who didn't want them anymore!
As for Bulgaria, it's the easiest target they could find, highly dependent and poor, with a lot of pro-Russian sentiment, if they would really want to test Europe they would cut gas to Germany, or, they would stop paying Ukraine for gas transit money!
But they know that if they go that way it's game over and there will be a lot of gas flaring happening.
Sokol is trading at 73.78 and Ural at 76.40, seems like deliveries to India and China are not happening or what?
It is true that other countries are angry with Russia and they are imposing various sanctions on Russia. And in this situation, Russia is expected to try to export more oil and gas to China and India. But the question remains whether China will ally with Russia in such a situation. First, Saudi Arabia will never allow Russia or any other country to take the lead in oil imports/exports. Second, China is not so foolish as to go against the whole of Europe for Russia.