Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: The Geopolitical shock expected from the Russian invasion
by
davis196
on 29/05/2022, 10:12:55 UTC
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a direct challenge to Europe's postwar order, which is articulated through multilateral organizations like the EU and NATO and is backed by US strength. It needs to be seen if these systems buckle or are re-energized by the Russian threat. It's also uncertain how China will balance its ties with the West and its Russian neighbor in the long run. China has actively prepared for a period of geopolitical turbulence by hoarding oil and commodities as a reserve buffer, while maintaining friendly relations with Russia. Beijing is in a good position to help L&MICs mitigate the conflict's negative consequences. Debt has crippled many Asian and African economies, which are reliant on Chinese inbound investment and commodities consumption.

How do you think China would respond to this crisis? your thoughts please.

OP, you topic seems to be more focused on geopolitics rather than economics, so maybe you should move this forum thread to the Politics and society forum.
Anyway, the response of China would be pretty normal- stay neutral and see what happens (and try to get any benefit from current global geopolitical situation).
The Chinese have tons of patience and they are pretty forward thinking. I don't think that they are stupid enough to attack Taiwan, conventional wars are getting pretty much obsolete in the 21st century, the war in Ukraine is an example. Wars are just too expensive and the potential benefits are questionable. Why waste your resources in a war, when you could achieve your goals using other ways.