Just want to note that Eligius has been under constant DDoS attacks for well over a week now. Mitigation sometimes requires temporarily killing one or more public facing IPs and letting miners reconnect to others. As long as you're using the proper hostname, stratum.mining.eligius.st, then your miners should do all of this automatically.
Any hypothesis as to why?
Has it contributed to the bad luck at all? The payment queue is quite long.