Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
death_wish
on 15/06/2022, 09:49:40 UTC
I think these things happen because of addication. death_wish can shed some light on this I'm sure.

What kind of addiction?  I never do drugs; I am very strictly against the recreational abuse of psychotropics.  Except in such circumstances as having just lost a fortune, I don’t drink immoderately; I rarely drink at all.  I don’t have any history of problems with gambling—perhaps because I understand the mathematics of gambling; if someone offers me a game of chance, I will only bet on the EV+ side in the amount proved optimal by the Kelly Criterion.  Not sure what you mean.

gambling addiction

Question or judgment?

I intended to correct something I told Jay (need to catch up with his posts):  Technically, I do have a gambling habit.  I have profited before from investing BTC in casino bankrolls, and I wish to do so again.  Technically, it is gambling:  The house takes the EV+ side of the EV- bet offered to players.  The truism that “the house always wins” is incorrect:  The house often loses bets, but its average converges on profit for the same mathematical reason that winning players eventually fall into losses.  I said that I never gambled, and I didn’t even think of it in this context, because investing in a casino bankroll is not what most people mean by “gambling”.

I have never gambled even one satoshi of my own BTC on the EV- side.