Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Merits 3 from 2 users
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
a1 Hashrate LLC2022
on 16/06/2022, 15:50:53 UTC
⭐ Merited by vapourminer (2) ,Dabs (1)
There's enough fundamental and technical reasons why many think $20K was the bottom. See below for why it also might not be...

https://s3.cointelegraph.com/uploads/2022-06/07404c87-25e2-41e8-ab4a-92325256ac46.jfif

Source: https[Suspicious link removed]c-says-btc-undervalued-and-oversold

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/n/Niznm0G2.png

Source: Weekly RSI (Lowest ever recorded level)

https://i.imgur.com/vBiq5tu.png

Source: https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/bitcoin-rainbow-chart/



One reason why it might not be... price has only just entered the capitulation zone.

https://i.imgur.com/xKeMWnz.png

Source: https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/relative-unrealized-profit--loss/

Here's another way to look at that metric.

https://i.imgur.com/6Qzcw7J.png

Source: https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/realized-price/

Currently staying neutral until the end of the week  Smiley

Charts are nice but look at it from mining viewpoint and it is easy to see 15-17k is likely to happen close to the July 15 possible fed rate day.


here goes a s17 set to low power does 42th

42 th is 42 x .0895 = $3.75 earned

burns 34 kwatts so 34 x .08 =  2.72

profit =                  $1.03  for an eight cent farm with paid off s17 so a 1.4 megawatt farm which is still small for a commercial farm
is earning about 1k a day

this is current price of coin and current difficulty. I can tell you most bottoms the 8 cent miner is just under water.

that means 0.0895 per th needs to be 0.0640 cent a th

0.0640/0.0895 x 22000 = 15731 per coin puts the 8 cent miner under water.

I have mined since 2012 and crashes tend to stop at the 8 cent red line price point for miners.

so I stick with 15-17k as bottom.