Morally, I'm not ready to see a price for bitcoin in 10.000 $, but theoretically, after reading your post, it seems to me that this is quite possible. Opinion that bitcoin's price will no longer fall is in the air and in the community. Which, it seems to me, only makes your predictions more likely, because the market is not predictable and moves in the opposite direction of what most people expect.

I don't believe in magic and I don't think anyone can see the future. We will learn about the absolute bottom of the current bearish cycle post factum. We can of course try to guess, but it's more like a lottery.