Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Are you ready to see Bitcoin at $10 000?
by
Etranger
on 29/06/2022, 09:15:25 UTC
Are you ready to see $10,000 Bitcoin this year or early next year? I read some communities on the Internet and most of them are sure that the price of $17,600 is a very cruel fall and a fall even deeper can provoke a loss of faith in bitcoin altogether (funny phrase). But those same people have apparently never analyzed bitcoin historical data. In this capitulation event, bitcoin only fell (I don't know if it's appropriate to say this when it comes to such a loss in value Smiley) by 73%.

If you look at the historical events of capitulation, whether it was 2013 or 2017, then Bitcoin steadily lost ~ 85% of its value, after which a renaissance began, and the market entered a recovery phase.



Based on the theory of cyclicality, then the absolute market bottom comes every 4 years, and at the same time, bitcoin loses about 85% of its value after an explosive bullrun. In this cycle, 85% of the lost value from the last ATH is right at the ~$10,000 mark.

What do you think is the absolute bottom of the current bearish cycle?


What do you think about the price in 2023? Can we expact it goes to new ATH at 90000 - 100000? Could you please also explain in more details about this 4-year cycle? When exactly the renaissance begins - straight after 85% loss? And how does it correlate with the fact that mostly BTC price in the end of prety every year is higher that in the beggining? For example in the beggining of 2019 it was $3700, of 2020 - $7200, of 2021 - $31500, of 2022 - $46300?