Orrrrrrrrrrrrrr how about a combination of ALL OF THE ABOVE ? the whole shebang, Ukraine, Russia, tactical nukes fly, food, fuel, gas shortages, new variant, deaths, lockdown supermax, supply chain grinds to halt, civil unrest, China makes its move.....
Where does that leave BTC price?
you forgot alien invasion.
dunno what would be worse if that happens: they liquefy our brains for a gourmet dessert dish that become famous all through the galaxy. or they instantly mine all the rest of the bitcoins.
when $0 party?
heh heh.... you know, I actually full expect "alien invasion" larp at some point in the future, maybe not in our lifetimes though.
Buuuuuuutttt unfortunately, out of all of the scenarios I laid out, or a combination, or a full house.... I just do not see them as being that outrageous, we seem to be on track for mutiple of them, if not the full house actually playing out in reality.
Russia/Ukraine - seems very plausible tactical nukes get deployed, not 100%, but not 0%, and probably higher than 50% imo - and , markets I do not think have priced this in
Covid- well , according to the MSM, we now have higher covid cases in the UK than at any time apart from three weeks of the pandemic and, I am hearing chatter about "variant concerns" and , IF , and it is a big IF, there is anything worse about the variant... I am hearing chatter about lockdowns in winter again , ALREADY.
Inflation continuing to rise, and interest rates, and inflation not dampening .... looks like its a decent possibility
Food , fuel, energy prices hike like a MOFO come end of year... looks like that is happening (markets possibly pricing that in already?)
Supply chains grind to halt because of all of the above, is a given, if these scenarios play out.
Civil unrest? depends on if ^^ comes to fruition, if so, I can very much imagine it! ie Energy, Fuel, food shortages and price hikes, employee lay offs from companies, credit crunch/rates rise, people get priced out of their mortgages and start losing their homes? lockdowns again compounding it all ...people are going to snap (imo)
China is the wildest card amongst the lot... and personally I am not sure that China is ready to make a move yet .....
As for the rest of it.... I can so imagine it.
Again, I can imagine it not playing out that way also.