Based on the theory of cyclicality, then the absolute market bottom comes every 4 years, and at the same time, bitcoin loses about 85% of its value after an explosive bullrun. In this cycle, 85% of the lost value from the last ATH is right at the ~$10,000 mark.
I expect further from the existing cycle, expectation $8000, two thousand lower than expected, at least.
I had a fiasco when Bitcoin was at $6000 a few years ago, I looked and I didn't do anything about it, the new ATH kept going up to $60k, experience is the teacher of everything, well, if Bitcoin is in the $10k position, I'll hold on tight until a new ATH happens, no matter how many years it will be, i don't want to fail the umpteenth time, i'm ready for a $10k Bitcoin cycle, I'm ready to risk.