2 million is not so little, for example, Iceland with a population of just over 300 thousand people relatively recently got to the final part of the World Cup, and reached the quarter-finals at the European Championship. There will also be surprises at this World Cup, maybe not from such small teams, but I wouldn't be surprised if some African team makes it to the later stages of the tournament.
Too early to conclude who is going to win and who will reach to the top.
Once the teams will enter the ground that will show how they are going to perform.