You should got answer from btc price because If the price of btc does not increase, the bull market cannot be considered. If btc continues to bravkdown its ath then bull market is not possible for this year. Because btc doesn't follow me and your point because we are small investors so all this will depend on big investors.
Yes, BTC is the main indication to see if there was an upcoming bull run or not. From what I saw right now, BTC is still in turmoil, sideway with overall trend seems to go down more like up. Sure, there will be a next bull run but I doubt it will be in anytime soon at least for this year.