Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;)

I think that the most important fact of that chart comparison is that the superbubble is a possibility, the nice fitting of shape of the charts, and the order of magnitude of the price and time.

Everything is a possibility. We can fit an elephant to a mouse using a math model.
The real value is in correctly discerning probabilities.

There are no such things as possibilities and probabilities. There is only one 'possible' future.

http://www.ntslibrary.com/PDF%20Books/Necessity%20or%20Contingency.pdf
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diodorus_Cronus#Master_Argument

Actually every day there a billions of different futures occurring and you can't possibly know them all. This is why following a leader is unfit.

Opportunity is borne in the small and diverse, i.e. specific knowledge.