I was also thinking about something like you did. In my opinion, it will be near 150k max but it will not exceed 200k. But one thing most people are certain about is it will break its ATH for sure like it did every time.
But the major concern is how long this bear market will remain. Whales already wiped out some major investors like tesla, celsius, 3A, etc. I am expecting the last bearish move from BTC at the end of this year.