I don't there will be a trend reversal until the number of shorts on Bitfinex outnumbers the number of longs by 2:1. Right now plenty of people are still optimistic about the price immediately bouncing up after months of a downtrend. When everyone believes that bitcoin is going to continue going down and shorts start to be squeezed that's when a trend reversal will occur. Right now these bounces seem to be bots following MCAD indicators every time it crosses the 6h mark.