market is doing fine.
How much deeper market gonna dive? Many believe we are near bottom. And there is a big reason for it. Market acting surprisingly fine despite everything.
First it was interest rates. We knew it will be around 75 and it was. And market rallied (relief rally?) And it did not stop when numbers came in and US GDP growth was negative for the second consecutive quarter (which is a big recession indicator).
Why is that? Many think it is because we have allrdy saw the bottom and that market is currently "undervalued" so it is kind of numb to bad news. It very well might be the case, or it might not. Frankly It is not about where the bottom is (if there is one) but rather when there will be room for real growth! Current situation is:
We might allrdy be in recession.
Inflation is still here.
War in Ukraine continue to have an impact on energy and food price.
Feds made it clear that Interest rates will be raised more and more until inflation is under control.
Do you see any good signal that we might get out of this mess? Bottom or not until these fundamental problems are solved I just can't see a bull market coming.
It's hard to tell what you are describing because most people refer to stocks when talking about "the market". Funnily enough stocks are still going very strong even though there are all these recession warnings around, which is the opposite of bitcoin that took a huge slump recently but is slowly regaining ground. You have to consider that crypto is extremely high risk, so the moment things start dipping, everyone is in a stampede for the week exit and it takes a long time to regain trust. You also have to consider that it's getting a lot more expensive to borrow so people don't have cheap money available now to "invest"