So if we buy into your log-logistic adoption rate and admit that growth is slowing, how would any impending economic instability play into the equation?
Without anonymity we are toast.
Is Bitcoin anonymous?
Will the Bitcoin block chain even have a liquid anonymous market any more by 2016 when it matters to us? Or will everything be registered in Coinbase, Bitpay, Paypal, etc...
Because the governments have no choice but to increase revenues as we collapse into a global debt default. And the more they tax + confiscate wealth, the more the GDP will collapse. Thus the more they will need to take from wealth. It is a downward spiral. Very scary.
According to Martin Armstrong's very high placed sources, the Fed has already told the banks not to expect a bailout next big crash (which should be 2016). They are going to let this sucker downward spiral but with capital controls so that government can pay the debt and obligations while private pensions and banks implode taking all the wealth down with them. The USA is temporarily bouncing up and stock market might even double before Sept 2015. But this is just capital fleeing the emerging markets and rushing back to the reserve currency for one last hooray before the whole mess collapses.
Gold hoarding causes a collapse in the velocity of money V in the equation M x V = GDP, thus GDP collapses. It is Mad Max directed outcome because the world is $223 trillion in debt + $1000 trillion in derivative swaps to hold up pension plans & finance + $1000 trillion in unfunded promises to society (welfare, pensions, etc).
P.S. $4 trillion of it has been unaccounted for in the USA Federal budget and is called the "black budget". Imagine what the "
Fourth Branch" of government can do with $4 trillion.
Catherine Austin Fitts' point that government intentionally designs in
failure when it is in its best interest but can act very swiftly when that
is in its best interest (i.e. the best interests of the elite "Fourth
Branch of Government" who capture the government). She talks about the $4
trillion black budget. I highly recommend listening to the audio interview. She
is very articulate and gets directly to the point. She was former Assistant
Security of HUD in the USA government. She was also a major player on
Wallstreet. So she has insider connections. Janet Napolitano once told her
to prepare for mass voilence and upheavel in the USA after 2016.
http://www.dailypaul.com/314402/complete-breakdown-of-financial-controls-in-us-government-says-austin-fittsJanet Napolitano was the former head of the Homelust (hands down your child's pants) ScrewUrity department.
The well known mainstream Bill Moyers did a documentary on the Fourth Branch of the USA government:
http://billmoyers.com/episode/the-deep-state-hiding-in-plain-sight/If you listen to both Bill Moyer's video and Fitt's audio interview, you will drastically increase your understanding.
More here:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=455141.msg5704180#msg5704180