This is very likely. But I do not think that the United States will allow this before reaching an agreement on the Iranian nuclear file. Tehran still has to make concessions to reach an agreement, and time is not on its side if America continues to delay the procedures. America is not in its interest to break Iran's isolation. Yesterday, the infrastructure of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards was destroyed in Syria by American planes, and Israel, on the other hand, reiterated its clear refusal to reach an agreement with Iran, as it does not want it to become a nuclear state (this will weaken the balance of power on the ground).

The biggest problem for European countries is not oil in the first place, because they can pressure producers to increase production, including Venezuela. The great crisis in the Russian invasion with the approach of winter. Gas is Russia's trump card in this confrontation.