Remember tho that the match between them is a 5 rounder. I think Gane is gonna finish Tuivasa around the third or the fourth or something. Tuivasa is susceptible of getting finished in the past as his record shows. I'm not sure where the books have lined the over/under but if it's 2.5 and over is at plus money, I'd say over.
Anyway, I'm not really sure why the UFC decided to make Gane and Tuivasa the main event. Whitaker bs Vettori seems like it's a higher level match and the winner of the match could get a shot at the belt again.
Yeah, it's probably not the most probable outcome, but it will give a decent return I would expect. Actually, just looking at it; 2.75 for the fight to go the distance, which is rather low, I was expecting a little more given the history of these two, especially since Tai doesn't really defend all that well. 3.25 for a Gane decision looks somewhat enticing though.
The only thing over 2.5 on my bookie is over 4.5. Under 3.5 at 1.72 though which isn't terrible if you're thinking he could get knocked out here.
From a betting perspective I'd avoid betting on the main event.. Even the props. There's just no value. And there's plenty of spots out there. Nathaniel Wood as the underdog being one. Wood via decision at 3.85 is worth more than Gane via decision. I mean Gane via dec looks good if the match is three rounds imho.
And Gane as a parlay piece would be at the top of my lottery ticket but do I really want to use him with low value after what just happened with Usman at 278...? :/