Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
Oh gawd.. not you too.. 
I recognize that you are probably not referring to me specifically, even though you had an @JJG in your earlier post.. but I should respond to clarify anyhow by saying that you should already somewhat realize my system, and I have posted regarding some of my deviations from my system without trying to give too many details.. but still you likely have some ideas about how I have been rolling with these matters, unless you are worried about my having had not sold enough? and worried about my having had bought too many at too high of prices?
Genuine recommendation overall or gloating or trolling?
You likely already realize that if you transition into a tone that appears to be cheering down, then you are likely going to get some backlash from some of us folks.. whether we are frustrated or not.. but even if I am not personally frustrated, I am still likely going to get mad for the mere sake of it for anyone who seems to be cheering for down.. or even seems to be cheering that down has happened.
I recognize that you are probably not referring to me specifically, even though you had an @JJG in your earlier post.. but I should respond to clarify anyhow by saying that you should already somewhat realize my system, and I have posted regarding some of my deviations from my system without trying to give too many details.. but still you likely have some ideas about how I have been rolling with these matters, unless you are worried about my having had not sold enough? and worried about my having had bought too many at too high of prices?
Genuine recommendation overall or gloating or trolling?
You likely already realize that if you transition into a tone that appears to be cheering down, then you are likely going to get some backlash from some of us folks.. whether we are frustrated or not.. but even if I am not personally frustrated, I am still likely going to get mad for the mere sake of it for anyone who seems to be cheering for down.. or even seems to be cheering that down has happened.
Absolutely not cheering for down, brother. I am still majorly bitcoin invested, net worth wise. Probably something like 90% bitcoin, if we want to calculate real estate, stocks, bonds & stuff. I’m just saying what I see it though, it looks like down before up.
OK maybe I’ll secretly enjoy buying cheap coins but it doesn’t change how I think this will play out. The world economy is a mess, we’re going into a deep recession. Everything is going to tank but this is where us smart dudes prosper where idiots fall.
Lower lows, crab market with slight uppity until we hit the halving at $40,000 or something. Bull run starts & we’re well into 6 figures (USD) by end of 2025.
Key words (as always): HoDL and/or BTFD.
The majority says down before UP, so it must be true..
...Lower lows, crab market with slight uppity until we hit the halving...
the question is, when will the lower lows stop and turn into crab market... (aka bottom in)I changed your above quote because it was supposed to be a quote from LFC rather than AlcoHoDL (your original mistaken quote)..
For sure we are in a bear market so the odds for down might seem to be slightly greater than the odds for UP, but surely even with being in a bear market, that still does not mean that for sure we have to go down before UP.. even if if there is decently good odds for such.
So one thing is the placement of odds, but then another thing would be starting to talk about scenarios as if they are certain to happen, even if they might happen to fall into the category of being the most (or more) likely of scenarios, but any break in any leg of a set of scenarios with several legs may well end up screwing up the subsequent legs within any multi-leg prediction, and the screw up could end up affecting the magnitude of the difference in the prediction or the time in which it happens (or both).
Surely I cannot deny that there could be some value to get some kind of a target price by a certain date (such as $40k by the next halvening), and then consider that the various legs between such happening are largely noise, because that can be a decent tentative framework too that does not necessarily get too caught upon the details of how it ends up happening.. but then it still has a bit of a grating effect on me when those target dates for certain prices end up having higher levels of certainty than they seem to deserve (even if they might end up being the most likely of scenarios).
For sure, several of us are repeating in discussing these kinds of themes, and surely since we are in a public thread that involves newbies ongoingly coming in, and even each of us are changing in our perspectives and spins of our perspective, so I don't see too many problems in repeating themes over and over and over.. and if any of you are too bored with my repetition or even the repetition of others, then that's the reason that god invented scroll wheels, even if you might be too fucking poor to buy a new mouse... fuck off poor peeps.. don't you have any trash cans that you can rummage for a "new" mouse?.. and yeah, new ramen is just as good when it is not exactly "new" too, sometimes. Everything no does not have to be "new, new." Don't you know nuttin?