I'm over 50% luck so still hopeful that it'll come soon

Didn't the last block get solved with over 200% luck? Did I read that correctly?
That's correct. I've hit my XMR solo block with 270% luck. For some other altcoins I've seen pools hitting a block with 600-700% luck. So potentially it could have been personal luck if you go solo.
Of course pool was more lucky after that. So if you plan to hit few BTC blocks in your life it's still OK

But I'm sure you're aware if you submitted that many shares

.