Today while I was watching Russian PM with other PMs in conference.
He looked confident - and there was no guilt on his face and people around him were giving him respect and honor . . from nowhere it appeared that has has made any mistake by attacking Ukraine.
Mistake was made in Karabakh and not in Ukraine. Taking advantage of the conflict in Ukraine, Turkey opened new fronts in both Syria and Karabakh and a third one is possible in Tajikistan-Kyrgyzstan border.
And so far it has been the other countries who are facing most of the consequences. Electricity prices has gone up by 5-10 times in Europe. And all around the world ordinary people are reeling from high prices to gasoline, diesel, LPG, CNG, potash and ammonia fertilizer, wheat, coal, sunflower oil.etc. And the consequences are being felt more in countries such as India and Pakistan.
Russia's loss of its influence in the countries of Central Asia is precisely the direct result of the military defeat in Ukraine. Putin was forced to send additional military forces and equipment to Ukraine in Ukraine, significantly weakening the military presence in all his other regions, and also began to withdraw military equipment and his military from Syria, mobilizing everyone for war with Ukraine. Therefore, Russia has already been forced to refuse the request of the Armenian government for military assistance after the military conflict with Azerbaijan. Thus, Russia's influence on these states begins to weaken. Feeling this, Kazakhstan began to pursue a more independent policy and free itself from the influence of Russia. And this is just the beginning.
Already about ten nationalities of Russia, and above all Chechnya and Dagestan, are preparing to continue the struggle for their independence. Until then, the Russian Federation kept them in its composition only on the basis of fear of coercion and force of arms. The defeat of Russia in Ukraine dramatically changes the balance of power and the actual colonies of Russia will secede from the Russian Federation and proclaim their independence. The complete disintegration of the Russian Federation is brewing, and given the fact that its European part of the Russian Federation has practically no natural resources, including oil and gas, the situation in the near future of Russia will be very interesting.