Now, barring all excuses, and assuming that Jerwin will come in healthy 100%, no problem with the weight whatsoever, then maybe he will going to beat Martinez as expected by the majority here.
If that's going to happen then the majority of us will celebrate, but the way I see in their past fight, Ancajas was struggling against a more aggressive fighter, it was Martinez who dictated the tempo, and the good thing for him is that he can take the punches of Ancajas, there was no killer punch from Ancajas in that fight, and worst is he got exhausted.
And that i what Ancajas need if he wanted to win this rematch he need to throw solid combinations that will allow him to shake Martinez if same thing happen and Martinez dictates the tempo and have that good dominance, it will be a one-way fight that will favor Martinez, there are lots of adjustment aside from being healthy and maintain the target/required weight.
Though we can speculate but the outcome will depend on how both fighters deliver and execute their plan to beat each other.
It will be different take from different gamblers, own analysis and perceptions between these two fighters.
I get that Ancajas chance is only 50%-60% because Martinez is also aggressive and knows his way how to control the fight, the main disadvantage of Ancajas that time is he is not on his 100% because of his situation and that made him so fatigue, and Martinez took advantage of it. That situation could be avoided but I think his camp didn't know what to do that's why it's good for him that he have his own nutritionist now. He only needed to meet the weight needed because after that I know he can defeat Martinez, dominantly.
On the betting side, I think Ancajas will be the underdog this time, so if that is the case then that will be an advantage for us.