I get that Ancajas chance is only 50%-60% because Martinez is also aggressive and knows his way how to control the fight, the main disadvantage of Ancajas that time is he is not on his 100% because of his situation and that made him so fatigue, and Martinez took advantage of it. That situation could be avoided but I think his camp didn't know what to do that's why it's good for him that he have his own nutritionist now. He only needed to meet the weight needed because after that I know he can defeat Martinez, dominantly.
On the betting side, I think Ancajas will be the underdog this time, so if that is the case then that will be an advantage for us.
If Ancajas meet the weight requirement without any problem, I can say his chance of winning is around 70% and up. He is able to absorb Martinez punches, he has know Martinez fighting style and there are lots of available strategies to counter Martinez and they are not that difficult to implement.
If Ancajas is in full condition, I would think that he has more chance of beating Martinez than the other way around.
Right! That's the thing that he need to overcome first because he can't have this upcoming fight if he can't shrink his weight to make the required weight, and if he won't have some problems about that then there's indeed a high chance that the outcome will be much different this time because he now knows what could Martinez give him in the fight and how strong he is. He can do it, he's still at his prime and this is not his first time going for a belt that was once his.