It’s clear that golden ticket is not something that we can collect that much. But we are talking about "someone", like in general would the highest wagerer of freebitco.in could collect that much? I still think that it wouldn't be possible, no person in the world, even pooled with a few others, could get as high as 10% because this is a 200k lottery and that means we are going to end up with something big here and the amount of people that get a ticket is a lot, hence I do not think that it would happen.
We should just assume that everyone who joins would be under 1% in general, and that we would have a chance no matter what, even if we have just 1 ticket.
Yeah, 10% seems unattainable for most users. Honestly, I don't know how often top gamblers wager during a round of the Lambo lottery, but it seems to me that no one wagers more than 270-300 BTC in that period. If so, a top player can get about 55-60k golden tickets, but this number of tickets still does not guarantee winning the Lambo lottery because it is only 3.5-4% of the total number of tickets in the current round.