Just follow the 4-year chart of Bitcoin, it appears that we will see a big movement this month of October. Every year this month has seen an uptrend in bitcoin price. The month has just started and soon we will be able to see that positive sign for Bitcoin. Hopefully Bitcoin will be able to reach above $25000 this month.
We are in October, although we are still in a bear market, I have the same optimism as you for October. September we face a series of bad events such as CPI, meeting and Fed rate hike which put pressure on the market causing the market to go below $20k for a long time. But as you said, historically October and November are 2 months considered good for the market so we can expect the price to increase this month. That is not a sign of the bulls but at least there will be slight rallies so everyone can take profits if anyone buys the lows.
Historically the last quarter is bullish for bitcoin but after the bull market, we usually see a red last quarter of the bear market. So, keeping this in view, we might see a continuation of the bearish trend. The fed policies won't be changing anytime near and the interest rates on the dollar are also spiking. Not a god sign for bitcoin and i do see any positive news or momentum which can put a pause on this bearish trend.
We cant able to determine on what would be the price movement for this month of October yet it seems the price is really that moving sideways and its a bit non that really moving that much which it would
really be that hard to make up some speculations and guesses but i wont be surprised if there would be sudden sentiments that might float around.Expect the unexpected since this had been the main
characteristics of this market which it is always been hard to make up some speculation but the more experience and knowledge you do have then you would really be
that fully aware on what would be the actions you would be making on.Its hard but not really that impossible.