You are right. In fact, Lazio are the favourites. not just for playing at home. but if you look at the history of the match between Lazio vs Udinese, even in the last 5 matches, Lazio is indeed superior. with 2 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws. so the stakes will be even more for Lazio. but I want to make a different bet on this match. I will trust Udinese just this once. risky bet but i like it.
you made a pretty good bet. speculative of what the bookie has to offer.
I will also bet for Udinese in this match. although the favorite is Lazio, but Udinese's performance this season is not bad. even better than last season.
The result of this match could change the standings. this could have paved the way for Milan to enter the top 4. the chances are big enough.
Lazio and Udinese are in good form at the moment, now they have the same points on the table so anything is possible but I don't think Lazio will lose at home, it's a risky bet.
in the last few matches both teams have scored a lot of goals I think for this match betting on goals over is a good choice, it is very possible because the quality of both teams is at their best to create a lot of goals.