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Most of the other groups looks like we can easily pick the two teams to qualify from them, but as you've stated we could be in for a couple of upsets, Spain on paper seems to have the easiest group, but I don't think Norway and Scotland will be pushovers.
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to be honest, i see the highest probability for a surprise only in groups e, h and i.
there i can imagine that some nations could qualify for euro 2024 by finishing second in the table or would at least have the chance to qualify for germany in the play-offs as third.