When we were bouncing around at $18K I was telling myself that I think the next leg down will be the one to buy. As we dip into the 15's I can't help but think this is the dip people have been waiting for. There's still a ton of uncertainty and even more bad news on the horizon, but I think we've gone low enough in the short term (once this Genesis stuff is cleared up). I think we're likely to start seeing a runup before the halving soon, with a small crash as we go into the halving and people cash out profits, followed by the start of the next bull run. That's how it's gone in the past anyway.
Mostly agree with you. Just the point related to the "crash" before the 2020 halving... Hmm It was caused by the express covid crash... Unexpected and rare (hopefully) situation. Not sure if it's relevant to compare with this for 2024, but let see.
We can have expected 'unexpected' any time now, that's for sure.
Makes you either paranoid or philosophical about life and everything else, like having or not having more funds.
Sure, everything can happen any time now. Maybe with more probably that before. But still. If we stay rational and statistical, i don't see lot of probably to have new war, or new worldwide pandemic or other crazy things, every year or even every 5/10 years. Past and history never proved that till now.