We are already in the recession, ever since the war started between Russia and Ukraine.

So not sure what recession you are talking about, every country has suffered the worst already, and prices of basic commodities are going up. But let's see if your prediction is a hit or miss. But if we are going to look at previous history, we might see a -85% down, so that means that price can go lower between $10k-$13k so say that we have hit the bottom in this bear market and this is in line with what the OP has predicted.