I think that Ecuador is a little closer to a win here. Valencia is playing great in the World Cup and I see him scoring at least one goal in this game. Senegal should attack more because they have to win and that could open them for counter attacks from Ecuador.
Ecuador is on a better terms though. They just need to get atleast a draw on this game and they are set for the next round although it would be interesting if they could get higher points then Netherlands but I guess their main objective would be not to lose today
Edit : oh wait, Senegal scored the first goal and if this continue until the end of 2nd half then Senegal will be the team that is getting onto the next round along with Netherlands though