those predictions are less about the markets and more about the users revealing their buy in and exit plans

most users have a 2x in mind to exit out
its why when the price went to a $50k amount after the ATH and stuck around there for a bit. people buying at $50k wanted a $100k exit

those buying at about $17.5k want a $36k exit

they are just trying to suggest their exit and hope someone will tell them "yes your exit number is possible in a small timeframe of when you want to leave by" just to ease their mind