My one thought on investing and trading, investors and traders just need to know how the market works and how they can make a profit. One fact is that if they want to be long-term holders then maybe a really detailed analysis is not really needed, especially if the asset of choice is bitcoin.
for futures trading, it will be more complicated than you say. it may look like reading the direction the market is moving. but in reality, many futures traders experience losses. they don't do any research or pretend they know how to analyze the market. but actually, only predictions are used. isn't that the same as gambling?
I will not say all of them. most of the beginners who trade futures must be like that.