Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: 2022 Diff thread.
by
mikeywith
on 16/12/2022, 19:55:34 UTC

https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator
…

Latest Block:   767624  (3 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   105.9778%  (1545 / 1457.85 expected, 87.15 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   36950494067222.41                           
Current Difficulty:   34244331613176.18                           
Next Difficulty:   between 36180324701967 and 36298804683504
Next Difficulty Change:   between +5.6535% and +5.9995%
Previous Retarget:   December 5, 2022 at 8:47 PM  (-7.3238%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Monday at 1:50 AM  (in 3d 2h 4m 19s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Monday at 2:52 AM  (in 3d 3h 6m 23s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 5h 2m 51s and 13d 6h 4m 55s
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pretty good move up 🆙
[/quote]

Seems like a good amount of hashrate went offline, in less than a day from Phil's post, the pace dropped 1.2%.

Quote
Latest Block:   767701  (11 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   104.7875%  (1622 / 1547.90 expected, 74.1 ahead)
Previous Difficulty:   36950494067222.41                            
Current Difficulty:   34244331613176.18                            
Next Difficulty:   between 35824894249144 and 35890679608341
Next Difficulty Change:   between +4.6155% and +4.8077%
Previous Retarget:   December 6, 2022 at 3:47 AM  (-7.3238%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Monday at 12:26 PM  (in 2d 14h 39m 59s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Monday at 1:01 PM  (in 2d 15h 15m 10s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 8h 38m 56s and 13d 9h 14m 7s

of course, not much time left to bring it to negative, so maybe 1.3x %, but the next epoch will be interesting to watch, we will likely start with a large negative pace especially given the drop in BTC price, even the stock market took some serious losses in the past a few days, so no sign of price recovery yet, even more reasons to believe that difficulty is more likely to drop than go up.