...... I think we can all agree (except for the odd alpaca) that BTC should have made a new ATH by the latter.

First Quarter of 2023
wanna bet some
BTC ?

That's interesting.. whether you might go with a 50/50 type of a bet or if one side might give odds to the other?
if each of us has about the same conviction that our forecast is correct, 50/50 should be ok.
I feel everything else seems to show a kind of unbalance in conviction, and it gets more complex to express that in percentages in a fair way...
Of course, the way to structure the bet is for the two betting parties to work out, and if you figure out a way to make it a 50/50 odds bet, then that usually would be more straight-forward.. which does seem quite doable with how the potential terms have already been expressed.
Many of us already know that frequently members here will make relatively strong, clear and unambiguous assertions, but they won't necessarily stand behind those same assertions when it comes time to place the bet - and sometimes it can turn into a bit of a battle regarding what the assertions were and if the assertions as made are bettable,.. who were making which of the assertions, and then that can be another matter in which bets do not end up getting logged. ...