Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
However since shahzadafzal didn't answer my proposal for a bet yet, I was hesitant to poke the next guy with a bet, as I'm by no means a betting person and I didn't want to come off as one...
That was a bet? I mean that was just a sarcastic smiley.. look..
Regardless of who you support, I think we can all agree (except for the odd alpaca) that BTC should have made a new ATH by the latter. 
First Quarter of 2023I mean I could take it like you meant... it will be ATH even before first quarter of 2023.
Btw since BitcoinBunny mentioned alpaca aka llama, I was poking this singing llama with that comment
No the smiley was meant as a nice smiley... like a nice invitation
For clarification: I'm a hardcore hodler and I would love to see an ATH soon. It would give me so much joy that I would happily part with some of my BTC when I lose this bet.
As I understand it you mean before end of 1st quarter 2023 (31st March 2023) we will see another ATH on Bitstamp? (last ATH was exactly at 69,000 USD)
I would say no, and bet against it. However, I love my BTC and I'm no gambler so I wouldn't bet much. Just some "change" (maybe up to 0.1 BTC or so) in a 1 : 1 bet.
I'm also very happy without betting, so please feel free to join or not.
As per JJG calculations Im still at my accumulation stage so I'm not opening my BTC wallet unless its for WO $100k Yacht party or for my pen-is enlargement surgery.
Btw Im against betting or gambling.
Ok. No problem. Thanks for your consideration!
Some thoughts however:
If you are in accumulation phase and you are sure of an ATH in 1st qtr. 2023 (which I myself really hope for), it certainly would be a nice chance to get more BTC for free, just by putting your BTC where your mouth is.
Even if you are against betting, 0.1BTC, now 1,700$ will be around 7,000$ at the next ATH. And having 7k$ more BTC in 3 months should actually be a nice motivation to make an exception from your rule.
Don't get me wrong... as I said I don't like betting either, but it wouldn't make much sense not to do it, when I could have a relatively certain 0.1BTC more in my wallet.
...in addition, if you win, you get at least a 7k$ value, whereas when I win, I get less than that $ value maybe even under the initial value of 1,700$...
So I have the feeling that I'm just more confident winning (increasing my stash) than you are...
But anyways. Thanks again, and have some nice last days of '22.
btw, I guess you must have been the first guy choosing 2023 for the new ATH in the poll (now it's already 3)
Well regarding the poll I voted for 2024.
But for your math and financial skills 10/10.
First of all, like I said I'm against betting so I'm not betting either for the first quarter of 2023 nor end of 2024. Please don't take me wrong.
Second, frankly speaking we both know there's almost no chance of breaking ATH in 2023 let alone the first quarter of 2023. Yeah I want BTC to reach ATH sooner but current market reality and looming financial crisis won't let it happen any soon. 2023 will be the cooling period for BTC and we might reach ATH mid or late 2024.