People are waiting to buy lower, but what if you're wrong and this is the bottom?
You never know what's going to happen next.
But why? There are several factors worth mentioning:
* historic patterns, 4 years cycles - people are comparing this cycle to the previous ones and the bottom should be reached in Q1 2023 (February-March?) according to that pattern. I wouldn't rely on that as the pattern has changed significantly - we had no exponential blow-off top: just x3 instead the x20- x30 we got used to. We also broke the tradition of not going below the previous cycle's ATH (dive under ~$19k we reached back in 2017).
* macroeconomic situation - war, post-covid issues, energy prices growing, hyperinflation, recession. You can't rely on this, because people may look for a safe heaven with all these stocks meltdowns, money losing value etc. They may consider Bitcoin to be such a safe heaven asset?
* overall bearish mood between traders - this one is hard to explain, sort of a collective brain. Noone is buying I won't too.
